Experience for reference:tax reduction in reform of supply front 03-21-2016

Tax reduction is an important part among the reform of the supply front. It would not jeopardize public income and expenditure if proper measures were taken, for example, broadening tax base, dealing with the hedge by reducing government non-productive expenditure, etc.


 

Source: Bing


Historically, the UK and the US used to adopt the measure of tax reduction to reduce the business cost and stimulate the economic growth. As a result, the positive effects of the tax reduction are obvious. It reduced enterprise cost, stimulated enterprise vitality, and brought about the prosperity of stock market. Of course, there are also some negative effects, for example, increasing the stress of revenue and expenditure of government, amplifying government’s fiscal deficits, and deteriorating income distribution.

 

In the early 1980s, president Regan conducted large-scaled tax reduction plan during when he was in power. Facing the economic stagnation and inflation in the US in 1970s, the measure of requirements management became gradually ineffective; therefore, tax reduction appeared in the historical stage as the major measure of the management of supply front.

 

From the perspective of the Policy Practice, the tax reform of 1981 declined the tax rate of the individual income tax and corporate income tax, shortened depreciable life of fixed assets, and provided enterprise investment with tax payment privilege.

 

From the perspective of the effects of the policy, there are three aspects:  

Firstly, the tax reduction of 1981 greatly reduced enterprise burden, and it made the marginal effective tax rate of the US dramatically decreased from 37.2% to 26.2%.

Secondly, with the tax revenue has increased rather than declined, the financial deficits obviously widened. Just as what the Laffer curve predicted, the reduction of the tax rate did not decrease the government revenue, instead, it increased the tax revenue due to the expansion of tax base.

 

However, with the faster GDP growth stimulated by the policy than before, the tax revenue to GDP ratio significantly decreased. Meanwhile, the financial expenditure of the US, especially defense expenditure, took up a high proportion among the revenue, which caused the deficit expansion in the US.

 

Thirdly, the tax reduction stimulated enterprise investment and economic growth of the US. It stimulated motivation of individual and enterprise investment, which made the economy of the US perform better in 1980s than the previous period in terms of investment and economic growth.

 

Fourthly, the tax reduction boosted the prosperity of the US stock market. During the period when the policy was implemented, the Dow-Jones Average of the US maintained a sustainable prosperity except a short-term stock market crash in 1987. Meanwhile, the yield of treasury bonds went up and down during that period of 10 years, which indicated that the major factor that brought the stock market with prosperity was the enterprise investment improvement that caused by tax reduction.

 

In 1980s, when Margaret Thatcher was in power, the UK also implemented the tax reduction of the management of supply front.

 

The individual income tax, corporate income tax, and the investment-related tax burden have decreased to varying degree. To hedge the effects arose from the tax reduction, the proportion of the consumption tax has improved.

From the perspective of the policy effects, firstly, the tax reduction broadened tax base and accelerated the growth of tax revenue. However, as the policy stimulated faster GDP growth, the tax revenue to GDP ratio significantly decreased, which means the enterprise tax burden reduced.

 

Secondly, the UK has not suffered the disastrous consequences of the US financial deficits expansion as the UK government reduced government non-productive expenditure and increased consumption tax so as to hedge the tax reduction to government revenue strike. These measures brought the UK government with financial deficits shrink and even the financial surplus in the later stage.

 

Thirdly, tax reduction helped UK’s economy maintains sustainable growth in 1980s with a better performance than that of the US, Germany and French in the same period.

Meanwhile, the labor productivity of manufacturing industry obviously improved, and the enterprise investment also has increased at a high speed.

Fourthly, although tax reduction caused decline of the revenue to GDP ratio, it brought the stock market with long-term prosperity. The policy supported the prosperity of the UK’s stock market in 1980s by the means of reducing enterprise tax burden and stimulating economy growth. The FTSE-100 index was in a bull market over a long period of time.

 

During the period of tax reduction, the rate of interest of the UK’s money market went up and down, which showed no connection with the stock market tendency. That is to say, it was the reform of supply front, such as tax reduction, that brought the enterprises with the performance improvement and thus brought the stock with prosperity.

 

*This article is an edited and translated version by CCM. The original article comes from laohucaijing.com, a website about economic in China.

 

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